Prediction market platform Polymarket has recorded approximately $4 billion in wagers regarding the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion. Market participants currently favor France to claim the title.
The platform lists France as the leading contender with a 33 percent win probability. Argentina follows at 17 percent, while England and Spain hold 14 percent and 13 percent respectively. Portugal and Norway round out the top tier with 6 percent and 5 percent odds.
Top Scorer Predictions
A separate market dedicated to the tournament leading goal scorer has attracted roughly $48 million in total volume. Kylian Mbappé leads the odds at 49 percent, ahead of Lionel Messi at 33 percent. Erling Haaland and Harry Kane complete the primary group with 13 percent and 6 percent probabilities.
Data sourced from GGM and iGaming News reports.